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Abdulhadi, N H (1997) Simulation as a tool for re-engineering construction processes, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Akeel, N F (1989) A database tool for statistically based construction cost estimate, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Al-Haddad, S (2020) State transportation agencies: A quantitative study on the use of construction engineering and inspection consultants and their impact on project performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Al-Rasheed, K A (1997) Construction schedule logic development: The impact of visualization, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Al-Tabtabai, H M (1989) PROCON: A knowledge-based approach to construction project control, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Albalawi, R K (2023) Comprehensive analysis of the multiskilling strategy among craft professionals in the construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Albattah, M A (2016) A critical analysis of the structural changes related to craft demographics influencing craft supply and demand in the United States across multiple dimensions, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Albert, A (2013) Strategies for construction hazard recognition, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Alruqi, W M (2019) Predicting construction safety performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Alruwaythi, O (2017) Influence of engineering information format, demographics, and spatial cognition on craft worker performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Alruwaythi, O F (2017) Influence of engineering information format, demografics and spatial cognition on craft worker performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Alsamadani, R M (2013) Measuring, modeling, and assessing safety communication in construction crews in the US using social network analysis, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Antillon, E I (2016) An exploration of the influence of public-private-partnerships on the life cycle design decision-making process of highway projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Antoine, A L C (2017) Performance-based project delivery selection for highway design and construction projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Apipattanavis, S (2007) Stochastic nonparametric methods for multi-site weather generation and flood frequency estimation: Applications to construction delay, hydrology and agricultural modeling, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Arneson, E (2018) Construction capacity: How regional construction supply chains respond to disruptions, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Beitelmal, W H (2016) Towards an infrastructure asset management organizational model for developing countries, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Bogus, S M (2004) Concurrent engineering strategies for reducing design delivery time, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Bonham, D R (2015) The derivation and implications of a master code of accounts for mechanical piping systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Butler, C J (2005) The relationship between emotional intelligence and transformational leadership behavior in construction industry leaders, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Chang, K (2004) Multiattribute weighting models for best-value selection in public sector design-build projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Dicks, E P (2023) Analysis of risk identification and relationships for major engineering and construction transportation projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Esmaeili, B (2012) Identifying and quantifying construction safety risks at the attribute level, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Farokhnia, K (2013) Nonstructural vulnerability functions for building categories, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Gransberg, D D (2004) Life cycle evaluation criteria for design-build highway pavement projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Han, S H (1999) Risk-based go/no-go decision making model for international construction projects: The cross-impact analysis approach, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Hardison, D C (2018) Hazard recognition in design: Evaluating the effects of design information on hazard recognition performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Hariri-Ardebili, M A (2015) Performance based earthquake engineering of concrete dams, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Harper, C M (2014) Measuring project integration using relational contract theory, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Huang, P-Y (1994) Extensible object-oriented computer-aided design system, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Jordan, E (2012) Pathways to community recovery: A qualitative comparative analysis of post-disaster outcomes, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Kaminsky, J (2013) Social sustainability of sanitation infrastructure in developing communities, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Komarek, R L D (2020) Exploration and assessment of leadership development in engineering students, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Kong, J S (2001) Lifetime maintenance strategies for deteriorating structures, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Kraft, E R (2013) Alternative quality assurance organizations for highway design and construction projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Kraiem, Z M (1988) DISCON: An expert system for construction contract disputes, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Lee, S (2007) Entry decision for unsolicited build-operate-transfer (BOT) highway projects: Real options approach, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

  • Type: Thesis
  • Keywords: decision support; concession; construction project; highway; specifications; delivery method; project delivery; quality assurance; quality control; quality management; builder; designer
  • ISBN/ISSN:
  • URL: https://www.proquest.com/docview/304889214
  • Abstract:
    Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) delivery is becoming prevalent because governments are seeking to leverage their limited resources while the private sector is seeking to expand investment opportunities. One of the main characteristics that Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) delivery method is different from other delivery methods is that governments allow unsolicited proposals by private sector. However, there is little fundamental research on systematic approaches to unsolicited BOT proposals. Research is critical because unsolicited proposals should be viewed from a different perspective than the traditionally solicited BOT projects. In addition, there is no published exploration into decision processes regarding the preparation of the proposal by a promoter. This research starts with the development of a sequential decision process for an unsolicited BOT project. This sequential decision process consists of three stages: where, what, and when decisions. The where decision should consider the concession policy, environment, local capital market, and country risks. The what decision should consider project type, project content and project length. Finally, the when decision should be carefully made, especially when a promoter considers submitting a proposal to the government. The main goal of this research is to develop and suggest timing decision models for unsolicited BOT projects, which can provide promoters flexibility to enter BOT markets. So far, research on the entry decision in the BOT area has been focused on “whether” to engage in BOT projects, or in other words, the go/no-go decision. The focus of this research is on "when", or in other words, how to incorporate timing into the decision. In the course of preparing a BOT project investment, providing flexibility in the entry decision benefits private companies. It provides proposers an opportunity to rethink about the proposal decision process and provide robust methods that will lead to a better decision. In the case of unsolicited BOT projects, two timing decisions are needed in both pre-investment stage and construction stage. A promoter should consider appropriate entry timing when it plans to propose an unsolicited BOT proposal and also consider the investment timing when it invests its money in this project if it is designated as a potential concessionaire. The proposal or investment should be deferred if the benefit of waiting is greater than the cost of waiting, as ups and downs can give more chances to earn money in the financial market. In order to evaluate the value of these entry decisions, real options approach is applied, since the decision of when to propose/invest in an unsolicited BOT project is similar to the exercise of financial call option. In this research, timing decision models (TDMs) by two different real options approaches are developed: (1) Black’s approximation and (2) simulation. TDM by Black’s approximation is a simple, closed-form technique in deciding optimal investment timing that can be applied to an infrastructure project. This approach offers sufficient insights to the purpose of the model which provides flexibility to the entry decision although it has a few deficiencies or assumptions. TDM by the simulation approach is a powerful and flexible method. This approach uses market risks as dependent variables which can be assumed to follow the risk-neutral stochastic process. In addition, this is much flexible since multiple variables can be applied at the same time and can be easily modified to accommodate different underlying stochastic processes. The models are demonstrated through both an illustrative case study and an application to the Incheon International Airport Highway (IIAH) project. The results show that the TDM can evaluate the value of deferment option and can give a promoter an opportunity to consider an appropriate timing flexibility. Various scenarios are developed to test the consistency and robustness of the developed models. The first scenarios are on the evaluation of the critical market risks of traffic demand, construction cost, interest, inflation rate, and exchange rate, which can be assumed to be hedged in the market. The other scenario analysis focuses on the evaluation of the case when there are government supports such as minimum revenue guarantee. The value of these government supports can be calculated through real options analysis.

Litchfield, K I (2014) Characterizing and understanding the growing population of socially engaged engineers through engineers without borders-USA, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Mesa, H A (2016) Modeling performance of integrated project delivery systems in design and construction, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Minooei, F (2018) Towards a deeper understanding of the U.S. workforce development system in the construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Molenaar, K R (1997) Public sector design-build: A model for project selection, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Nasr, E B (2005) An integrated project planning and control system approach for measuring project performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Nevett Fernández, G (2020) Duration estimators and productivity metrics for highway construction, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

O'Brien, J (2012) Exponential random graph models of social networks for engineering design firms, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Ock, J-H (1998) Integrated decision process model (idepm) for the development of the build-operate-transfer (bot) highway project proposals, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Oguz Erkal, E D (2022) Predicting serious injury and fatality exposure in construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Opdyke, A (2017) Resilient and sustainable infrastructure systems: A comparative analysis of post-disaster shelter coordination, stakeholder participation, and training, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Ou, C-S (2007) Sustainable infrastructure materials: A life cycle assessment approach, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Palagi, S (2020) Achieving risk reduction and livability: Connecting relocation decision making to outcomes at relocation communities, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Petcherdchoo, A (2004) Maintaining condition and safety of deteriorating bridges by probabilistic models and optimization, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Poleacovschi, C (2017) The role of social and governance mechanisms on the process of knowledge seeking in engineering organizations, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Rojas Molina, E M (1997) Developing a web-centric process to support inspection, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Rosas Sanchez, L (2008) Application of game modeling to good tunneling practice, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Salamah, A A A (1989) Coad: A knowledge-based expert system for conceptual estimates and designs, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Salas, R I (2020) Empirical evaluation of construction safety: Insights from economic trends, national cultures and workplace injury rates, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Schroeder, H P (1991) Dycam 1.0: Dynamic construction activity model, a decision support tool for construction planning, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Sears, M H (2020) Advanced eye tracking analysis for investigating construction craft professional interactions with 2D drawings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Shan, Y (2014) Integrated information modeling of construction project productivity, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Shane, J S (2006) A fundamental study of scope definition in early highway project development, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Stanford, M S (2017) Competition and price analysis of indefinite delivery indefinite quantity contracts for construction, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Techera, U D (2017) Measuring and managing construction worker fatigue, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Thiengburanathum, P (2003) Design of construction production systems: Representation, taxonomy, and design framework, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Tixier, A J-P (2015) Leveraging unstructured construction injury reports to predict safety outcomes and model safety risk using natural language processing, machine learning, and probability theory, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Tran, D (2013) A risk-based model to select delivery methods for highway design and construction projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Walters, J P (2015) A systems approach to sustainable rural water infrastructure in developing countries, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Wanberg, J (2014) The role and use of communities of practice to facilitate knowledge sharing in project based organizations, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Welfare, K S (2020) Perceptions of construction and the human factors climate through mixed methods, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Won, S J (2011) A general performance model for design-build highway pavement warranty decisions, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.

Zelinka, D L (2019) Systems approaches to transdisciplinary sustainable development issues, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of Colorado at Boulder.